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Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP)

Representative Concentration Pathway(s) (RCPs) are trajectories of greenhouse gas concentrations used for climate modelling in the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (IPCC 2013). The numerical values of the RCPs (i.e., 2.6, 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5) refer to the possible range of radiative forcing values in the year 2100. RCPs are used to build future climate scenarios based on greenhouse gas emissions from human activities, depending on the efforts taken to limit greenhouse gas emissions (high efforts taken under RCP2.6, low efforts under RCP8.5). RCP2.6 is the scenario that will likely keep global warming below 2 C by 2100 –this alone will have a significant impact on reducing wildfire occurrence (see also Figure 2.8).

Year: 2022

From collection: Spreading Like Wildfire: The Rising Threat of Extraordinary Landscape Fires

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