IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - B2 IMAGE 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 5297 7869 9875 10360
GNP/GDP (mex) Trillion US$ 21.0 41.2 75.7 198.7
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Final Energy EJ
Non-commercial 50 35 15 9
Solids 40 36 46 73
Liquids 98 106 124 128
Gas 50 102 143 160
Electricity 35 99 177 355
Others 0 0 0 0
Total 272 377 504 726
Primary Energy EJ
Coal 82 113 197 168
Oil 116 130 133 86
Gas 78 182 212 187
Nuclear
Biomass 1 6 34 76
Non-commercial 6 35 15 9
NTE (Nuclear/Solar) & Hydro 17 41 90 322
Total 344 506 679 846
Cumulative Resources Use ZJ
Coal 0.1 3.1 8.0 17.9
Oil 0.1 3.3 7.3 12.3
Gas 0.1 3.5 9.6 19.6
Cumulative CO2 Emissions GtC 0.0 75.3 161.1 259.1 366.4 480.2 600.6 722.6 841.7 958.2 1072.1 1183.5
Carbon Sequestraction GtC 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Land Use Million ha
Cropland 0 0 0 0
Grasslands 0 0 0 0
Energy Biomass 0 0 0 0
Forest 0 0 0 0
Others 0 0 0 0
Total 0 0 0 0
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC 5.99 6.90 7.68 8.47 9.39 10.31 11.23 10.84 10.52 10.20 9.87 9.55
Other CO2 GtC 1.11 1.07 1.50 1.94 1.67 1.40 1.13 1.20 1.26 1.33 1.39 1.46
Total CO2 GtC 7.10 7.97 9.19 10.40 11.06 11.71 12.36 12.04 11.78 11.52 11.26 11.01
CH4 total MtCH4 310 323 396 469 491 514 536 540 544 548 551 555
N2O total MtN2O-N 6.7 7.0 9.3 11.5 11.8 12.2 12.5 12.5 12.6 12.6 12.7 12.7
SOx total MtS 70.9 69.0 52.6 47.7 42.4 44.8 41.7 42.5 43.3 41.7 37.9 34.0
CFC/HFC/HCFC MtC eq. 1672 883 786 299 272 315 346 413 483 548 603 649
PFC MtC eq. 32 25 42 55 70 88 107 120 128 130 127 121
SF6 MtC eq. 38 40 48 55 60 76 79 80 74 63 65 69
CO MtCO 879 877 755 632 615 597 580 596 612 630 648 665
NMVOC Mt 139 141 147 152 151 149 147 149 151 154 156 158
NOx  MtN 31 32 36 39 43 47 51 49 48 46 44 43
OECD90 - B2 IMAGE 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 801 993 1022 1005
GNP/GDP (mex) Trillion US$ 16.5 27.9 39.2 65.7
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy EJ
Non-commercial 6 5 2 1
Solids 7 6 6 8
Liquids 51 40 38 25
Gas 34 53 64 78
Electricity 21 48 57 68
Others
Total 119 152 166 179
Primary Energy EJ
Coal 24 22 27 17
Oil 55 45 39 20
Gas 51 96 97 88
Nuclear
Biomass 1 2 6 10
Non-commercial 6 5 2 1
NTE (Nuclear/Solar) & Hydro 10 25 35 62
Total 147 195 206 197
Cumulative Resources Use ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.9 1.6 2.6
Oil 0.1 0.8 1.7 2.5
Gas 0.1 1.8 4.6 9.1
Cumulative CO2 Emissions GtC 0.0 30.1 63.2 98.6 135.4 172.8 210.7 248.4 285.2 321.1 356.0 390.0
Carbon Sequestraction GtC
Land Use Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC 2.83 3.20 3.30 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.25 3.10 2.96 2.81 2.66
Other CO2 GtC 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.25 0.31 0.36 0.42 0.47 0.53 0.58 0.64 0.69
Total CO2 GtC 2.83 3.20 3.42 3.65 3.71 3.76 3.82 3.73 3.63 3.54 3.45 3.35
CH4 total MtCH4 73 74 87 101 101 102 103 102 100 99 98 97
N2O total MtN2O-N 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9
SOx total MtS 22.7 17.0 10.2 7.5 6.5 5.6 4.8 4.3 3.8 3.4 3.1 2.8
HFC MtC eq. 19 57 105 99 102 101 102 101 100 98 98 97
PFC MtC eq. 18 13 14 13 12 11 10 8 7 7 7 7
SF6 MtC eq. 24 23 25 23 17 13 13 11 10 11 10 10
CO MtCO 179 161 119 77 79 80 82 83 84 84 85 86
NMVOC Mt 42 36 36 36 36 36 35 35 35 34 34 33
NOx  MtN 13 12 11 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 7
REF - B2 IMAGE 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 413 432 435 407
GNP/GDP (mex) Trillion US$ 1.0 2.1 3.5 5.7
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy EJ
Non-commercial 2 1 0 0
Solids 11 4 3 3
Liquids 18 15 10 7
Gas 12 9 9 9
Electricity 7 13 14 13
Others
Total 50 41 36 31
Primary Energy EJ
Coal 26 16 13 6
Oil 26 21 13 8
Gas 21 19 16 13
Nuclear
Biomass 0 0 3 3
Non-commercial 2 1 0 0
NTE (Nuclear/Solar) & Hydro 2 5 8 10
Total 78 63 53 40
Cumulative Resources Use ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.6 1.1 1.6
Oil 0.0 0.6 1.0 1.5
Gas 0.0 0.5 1.1 2.0
Cumulative CO2 Emissions GtC 0.0 11.0 19.1 24.9 29.3 32.8 35.5 37.6 39.7 42.3 45.2 48.4
Carbon Sequestraction GtC
Land Use Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC 1.30 0.91 0.68 0.46 0.34 0.23 0.12 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06
Other CO2 GtC 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.08 0.10 0.14 0.18 0.21 0.25 0.29
Total CO2 GtC 1.30 0.91 0.69 0.48 0.39 0.31 0.22 0.20 0.23 0.27 0.31 0.34
CH4 total MtCH4 47 39 45 50 48 45 42 41 39 38 36 34
N2O total MtN2O-N 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
SOx total MtS 17.0 11.0 5.0 3.6 2.7 1.8 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2
HFC MtC eq. 0 4 9 15 21 25 25 26 26 26 27 27
PFC MtC eq. 7 4 8 10 14 19 25 28 30 30 28 27
SF6 MtC eq. 7 6 5 7 9 12 15 16 15 14 14 14
CO MtCO 69 41 26 10 8 6 3 2 1 1 1 1
NMVOC Mt 16 13 12 10 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 8
NOx  MtN 5 3 4 4 3 3 2 1 1 1 0 0
ASIA - B2 IMAGE 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 2790 4123 4956 4783
GNP/GDP (mex) Trillion US$ 1.4 5.7 17.7 70.6
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy EJ
Non-commercial 28 21 7 3
Solids 20 22 26 39
Liquids 14 26 32 28
Gas 2 34 59 48
Electricity 4 31 79 164
Others
Total 68 134 203 282
Primary Energy EJ
Coal 29 63 120 64
Oil 17 32 22 3
Gas 3 60 82 48
Nuclear
Biomass 0 3 19 28
Non-commercial 28 21 7 3
NTE (Nuclear/Solar) & Hydro 2 7 34 163
Total 79 185 284 309
Cumulative Resources Use ZJ
Coal 0.0 1.4 4.3 9.4
Oil 0.0 0.7 1.5 1.9
Gas 0.0 0.9 3.1 5.9
Cumulative CO2 Emissions GtC 0.0 17.8 41.6 72.4 109.7 153.1 202.6 252.7 298.2 339.0 375.1 406.6
Carbon Sequestraction GtC
Land Use Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC 1.15 1.78 2.51 3.24 3.80 4.36 4.92 4.46 4.00 3.54 3.08 2.62
Other CO2 GtC 0.37 0.26 0.22 0.19 0.24 0.28 0.33 0.32 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.29
Total CO2 GtC 1.53 2.03 2.73 3.43 4.03 4.64 5.25 4.78 4.31 3.85 3.38 2.91
CH4 total MtCH4 113 125 153 180 194 209 224 225 226 227 228 229
N2O total MtN2O-N 2.3 2.6 3.0 3.4 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
SOx total MtS 17.7 25.3 20.5 18.1 17.6 17.1 15.3 15.2 15.0 14.0 12.1 10.2
HFC MtC eq. 0 5 21 40 66 95 130 164 199 233 267 302
PFC MtC eq. 3 5 14 22 30 38 46 51 54 54 53 51
SF6 MtC eq. 4 7 12 18 25 32 36 36 33 27 29 30
CO MtCO 235 270 247 225 237 249 262 262 263 263 264 264
NMVOC Mt 33 37 39 41 43 45 46 46 46 46 46 46
NOx  MtN 7 9 12 16 19 22 25 22 20 17 15 13
ALM - B2 IMAGE 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 1293 2321 3462 4165
GNP/GDP (mex) Trillion US$ 2.1 5.5 15.3 56.7
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy EJ
Non-commercial 14 8 6 4
Solids 2 4 10 24
Liquids 15 25 45 68
Gas 3 6 11 25
Electricity 2 7 26 111
Others
Total 35 51 99 233
Primary Energy EJ
Coal 4 12 38 80
Oil 18 31 59 55
Gas 3 8 17 38
Nuclear
Biomass 0 1 5 36
Non-commercial 14 8 6 4
NTE (Nuclear/Solar) & Hydro 3 4 12 86
Total 41 64 137 300
Cumulative Resources Use ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.2 1.0 4.4
Oil 0.0 1.2 3.0 6.4
Gas 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.5
Cumulative CO2 Emissions GtC 0.0 16.4 37.2 63.1 92.0 121.5 151.8 183.8 218.5 255.8 295.8 338.4
Carbon Sequestraction GtC
Land Use Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC 0.72 1.01 1.19 1.37 1.84 2.32 2.79 3.07 3.36 3.64 3.93 4.21
Other CO2 GtC 0.73 0.82 1.15 1.47 1.08 0.68 0.28 0.26 0.24 0.22 0.20 0.19
Total CO2 GtC 1.45 1.83 2.34 2.85 2.92 2.99 3.07 3.33 3.60 3.86 4.13 4.40
CH4 total MtCH4 77 85 111 138 148 158 168 173 179 184 189 195
N2O total MtN2O-N 1.2 1.3 3.0 4.7 4.8 4.9 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.4
SOx total MtS 10.5 12.8 14.1 15.6 12.8 17.2 17.1 18.8 20.5 20.7 19.2 17.8
HFC MtC eq. 0 2 12 20 32 54 84 120 157 190 211 223
PFC MtC eq. 4 4 7 10 14 20 27 33 37 39 39 37
SF6 MtC eq. 3 5 5 7 9 20 16 17 15 11 13 14
CO MtCO 396 404 362 320 291 262 233 249 265 282 298 315
NMVOC Mt 48 55 60 64 62 59 56 59 62 65 68 71
NOx  MtN 7 8 9 10 12 14 15 17 18 20 21 23