IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A2G IMAGE 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 5297 8225 11298 14719
GNP/GDP (mex) Trillion US$ 21.0 45.3 111.3 248.5
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Final Energy EJ
Non-commercial 50 40 22 16
Solids 40 44 65 99
Liquids 98 145 203 191
Gas 50 108 229 341
Electricity 35 91 262 444
Others 0 0 0 0
Total 272 428 781 1092
Primary Energy EJ
Coal 82 101 253 237
Oil 116 175 235 178
Gas 78 187 396 458
Nuclear
Biomass 1 6 46 71
Non-commercial 6 40 22 16
NTE (Nuclear/Solar) & Hydro 17 37 107 344
Total 344 546 1059 1304
Cumulative Resources Use ZJ
Coal 0.1 2.3 7.4 21.6
Oil 0.1 4.3 10.5 21.5
Gas 0.1 3.8 12.2 35.5
Cumulative CO2 Emissions GtC 0.0 75.3 165.3 275.8 408.2 563.6 742.1 932.8 1124.5 1317.3 1511.3 1706.3
Carbon Sequestraction GtC 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Land Use Million ha
Cropland 0 0 0 0
Grasslands 0 0 0 0
Energy Biomass 0 0 0 0
Forest 0 0 0 0
Others 0 0 0 0
Total 0 0 0 0
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC 5.99 6.90 7.98 9.07 12.10 15.14 18.17 18.05 17.93 17.81 17.69 17.57
Other CO2 GtC 1.11 1.07 2.04 3.01 2.29 1.56 0.84 1.07 1.30 1.53 1.76 1.99
Total CO2 GtC 7.10 7.97 10.02 12.08 14.39 16.70 19.01 19.12 19.23 19.34 19.45 19.56
CH4 total MtCH4 310 323 408 493 537 581 625 653 681 709 737 765
N2O total MtN2O-N 6.7 7.0 9.6 12.2 12.7 13.3 13.9 14.5 15.0 15.6 16.2 16.7
SOx total MtS 70.9 69.0 69.9 70.7 83.8 96.9 110.0 104.9 99.7 94.6 89.4 84.3
CFC/HFC/HCFC MtC eq. 1672 883 785 292 258 291 312 384 457 549 662 753
PFC MtC eq. 32 25 41 51 64 77 92 113 129 148 168 178
SF6 MtC eq. 38 40 50 64 75 89 104 122 129 135 153 165
CO MtCO 879 877 812 748 713 678 642 669 696 723 750 776
NMVOC Mt 139 141 154 166 165 163 161 167 172 177 183 188
NOx  MtN 31 32 37 42 55 68 82 80 78 77 75 73
OECD90 - A2G IMAGE 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 801 953 1068 1393
GNP/GDP (mex) Trillion US$ 16.5 30.7 57.7 109.6
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy EJ
Non-commercial 6 4 2 2
Solids 7 7 9 17
Liquids 51 55 56 57
Gas 34 49 66 103
Electricity 21 46 70 111
Others
Total 119 161 201 289
Primary Energy EJ
Coal 24 17 23 36
Oil 55 62 58 50
Gas 51 96 119 151
Nuclear
Biomass 1 2 6 11
Non-commercial 6 4 2 2
NTE (Nuclear/Solar) & Hydro 10 22 40 80
Total 147 202 248 330
Cumulative Resources Use ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.5
Oil 0.1 1.1 2.4 4.4
Gas 0.1 2.1 5.1 11.4
Cumulative CO2 Emissions GtC 0.0 30.1 63.7 100.3 139.8 181.8 226.2 273.2 322.9 375.4 430.6 488.4
Carbon Sequestraction GtC
Land Use Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC 2.83 3.20 3.40 3.60 3.77 3.95 4.12 4.29 4.45 4.62 4.78 4.95
Other CO2 GtC 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.22 0.30 0.37 0.45 0.55 0.66 0.76 0.87 0.98
Total CO2 GtC 2.83 3.20 3.51 3.82 4.07 4.32 4.57 4.84 5.11 5.38 5.65 5.92
CH4 total MtCH4 73 74 88 103 107 111 116 121 127 133 139 144
N2O total MtN2O-N 2.6 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.7 3.8
SOx total MtS 22.7 17.0 13.4 9.8 10.7 11.6 12.6 13.7 14.8 15.9 17.1 18.2
HFC MtC eq. 19 57 107 103 111 116 125 130 135 142 151 160
PFC MtC eq. 18 13 14 14 14 14 14 13 11 13 15 17
SF6 MtC eq. 23 23 25 28 29 29 28 26 20 12 14 16
CO MtCO 179 161 123 85 87 89 91 96 102 107 113 118
NMVOC Mt 42 36 35 34 36 37 38 40 43 45 48 50
NOx  MtN 13 12 11 9 10 11 11 12 13 13 14 14
REF - A2G IMAGE 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 413 421 391 405
GNP/GDP (mex) Trillion US$ 1.0 1.5 3.5 6.4
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy EJ
Non-commercial 2 1 1 0
Solids 11 5 3 4
Liquids 18 15 12 9
Gas 12 10 12 12
Electricity 7 10 18 21
Others
Total 50 41 46 46
Primary Energy EJ
Coal 26 12 14 12
Oil 26 21 21 12
Gas 21 19 27 21
Nuclear
Biomass 0 0 1 2
Non-commercial 2 1 1 0
NTE (Nuclear/Solar) & Hydro 2 4 9 14
Total 78 58 71 61
Cumulative Resources Use ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.5 0.9 1.6
Oil 0.0 0.5 1.1 1.8
Gas 0.0 0.5 1.2 2.6
Cumulative CO2 Emissions GtC 0.0 11.0 18.9 24.2 28.7 34.0 39.9 46.2 52.1 57.8 63.1 68.2
Carbon Sequestraction GtC
Land Use Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC 1.30 0.91 0.65 0.39 0.44 0.49 0.53 0.47 0.41 0.35 0.28 0.22
Other CO2 GtC 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.08 0.10 0.14 0.17 0.21 0.24 0.28
Total CO2 GtC 1.30 0.91 0.66 0.41 0.49 0.56 0.64 0.61 0.58 0.55 0.52 0.49
CH4 total MtCH4 47 39 44 50 49 48 48 47 47 46 45 45
N2O total MtN2O-N 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7
SOx total MtS 17.0 11.0 7.5 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.2 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.7
HFC MtC eq. 0 4 8 13 20 27 31 37 41 44 48 52
PFC MtC eq. 7 4 8 10 14 17 20 25 30 35 40 42
SF6 MtC eq. 8 6 7 10 12 15 19 24 28 32 36 38
CO MtCO 69 41 25 10 11 12 13 12 11 10 10 9
NMVOC Mt 16 13 12 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
NOx  MtN 5 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2
ASIA - A2G IMAGE 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 2790 4294 5746 7284
GNP/GDP (mex) Trillion US$ 1.4 5.8 25.6 69.0
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy EJ
Non-commercial 28 25 11 7
Solids 20 26 35 48
Liquids 14 36 62 39
Gas 2 35 110 144
Electricity 4 24 113 170
Others
Total 68 145 331 409
Primary Energy EJ
Coal 29 56 147 114
Oil 17 40 50 20
Gas 3 53 172 170
Nuclear
Biomass 0 4 28 26
Non-commercial 28 25 11 7
NTE (Nuclear/Solar) & Hydro 2 6 41 141
Total 79 184 449 477
Cumulative Resources Use ZJ
Coal 0.0 1.2 4.1 11.9
Oil 0.0 0.8 2.2 3.8
Gas 0.0 0.8 4.0 13.8
Cumulative CO2 Emissions GtC 0.0 17.8 41.6 72.1 114.3 173.0 248.1 329.8 408.3 483.6 555.7 624.6
Carbon Sequestraction GtC
Land Use Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC 1.15 1.78 2.48 3.19 4.78 6.36 7.95 7.62 7.29 6.96 6.63 6.30
Other CO2 GtC 0.37 0.26 0.23 0.21 0.27 0.32 0.38 0.39 0.40 0.41 0.42 0.43
Total CO2 GtC 1.53 2.03 2.72 3.40 5.04 6.69 8.33 8.01 7.69 7.37 7.05 6.73
CH4 total MtCH4 113 125 156 186 216 245 275 285 295 305 316 326
N2O total MtN2O-N 2.3 2.6 3.0 3.4 3.8 4.2 4.5 4.6 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.1
SOx total MtS 17.7 25.3 28.4 31.5 35.5 39.6 43.6 38.1 32.6 27.1 21.5 16.0
HFC MtC eq. 0 5 11 18 27 38 54 77 100 130 167 204
PFC MtC eq. 3 5 11 15 20 25 32 42 49 56 64 67
SF6 MtC eq. 4 7 11 16 20 27 34 43 49 55 62 67
CO MtCO 235 270 252 235 269 304 339 346 353 360 368 375
NMVOC Mt 33 37 40 42 46 51 55 56 56 57 57 58
NOx  MtN 7 9 12 16 23 31 39 37 35 32 30 28
ALM - A2G IMAGE 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 1293 2557 4093 5637
GNP/GDP (mex) Trillion US$ 2.1 7.3 24.5 63.5
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy EJ
Non-commercial 14 10 9 7
Solids 2 6 17 30
Liquids 15 40 74 87
Gas 3 14 42 83
Electricity 2 12 61 142
Others
Total 35 81 203 349
Primary Energy EJ
Coal 4 16 69 75
Oil 18 51 107 96
Gas 3 19 78 117
Nuclear
Biomass 0 1 11 32
Non-commercial 14 10 9 7
NTE (Nuclear/Solar) & Hydro 3 5 18 109
Total 41 103 291 437
Cumulative Resources Use ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.2 1.4 5.6
Oil 0.0 1.9 4.9 11.5
Gas 0.0 0.4 1.8 7.6
Cumulative CO2 Emissions GtC 0.0 16.4 41.2 79.1 125.3 174.9 228.0 283.6 341.2 400.6 461.9 525.1
Carbon Sequestraction GtC
Land Use Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC 0.72 1.01 1.45 1.89 3.12 4.34 5.56 5.67 5.78 5.89 6.00 6.11
Other CO2 GtC 0.73 0.82 1.69 2.56 1.67 0.79 -0.09 -0.01 0.07 0.15 0.23 0.31
Total CO2 GtC 1.45 1.83 3.14 4.45 4.79 5.13 5.47 5.66 5.85 6.04 6.22 6.41
CH4 total MtCH4 77 85 120 154 165 176 187 200 212 225 237 250
N2O total MtN2O-N 1.2 1.3 3.2 5.2 5.3 5.5 5.6 5.9 6.2 6.5 6.8 7.1
SOx total MtS 10.5 12.8 17.6 22.4 30.4 38.5 46.6 45.9 45.3 44.7 44.0 43.4
HFC MtC eq. 0 2 19 32 49 69 98 139 181 233 295 336
PFC MtC eq. 4 4 8 12 16 21 26 34 39 45 50 52
SF6 MtC eq. 3 5 7 10 13 18 23 29 32 37 41 43
CO MtCO 396 404 412 419 346 273 201 215 230 245 260 274
NMVOC Mt 48 55 67 79 72 65 58 60 63 66 68 71
NOx  MtN 7 8 11 14 18 23 28 28 28 28 28 29