Cattle in the Caucasus ecoregion
Over the recent number of years, as the economy came to a standstill, individual farms have replaced collective farming and subsistence agriculture and livestock breeding (cattle, sheep and goat) have became common. Along with the increase in farming, more and more land has been used as pasture land. Despite their low productivity, high Mountain areas are increasingly used as pasture grounds for sheep - leading to soil erosion and evoking avalanc...
29 Jan 2008 - by Manana Kurtubadze
Agricultural land in the Caucasus ecoregion
About 54% of a total of 44,019,400 ha of land is used for agriculture in the Caucasus. Most agricultural land is located in the plains, the Kuban-Azov plain, the Stavropol plateau, the Kura-Araks lowland and the Ararat valley while there is a shortage of farm land in mountain regions. The main crops of the Caucasus area are cereals, fodder, fruit, tea and tobacco.
29 Jan 2008 - by Manana Kurtubadze
Human vulnerability and food insecurity – rainfall and economy in Sub-Saharan Africa
For Sub-Saharan Africa, patterns in economic growth follow precipitation patterns closely. As rainfall has decreased over the last 30 years, so has the financial development. Rainfed agriculture represents a major share of the economy of these countries, as well as for domestic food supply. Improved water resources management and a wider resource base are critical to the stability and security that is required for economic development.
12 May 2008 - by Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal
Forest vs. Agriculture – the case of the Mabira forest reserve, Uganda
The Mabira forest reserve, on the shores of Lake Victoria hosts valuable wildlife, serves as a timber resource, provides ecosystem services for the water balance and the rainforests represents a tourist destination. Following a proposed plan for clearing a third of the reserve for agricultural use, the values of the forest were calculated by local researchers. This economic evaluation of the forest shows that from a short-term perspective, growin...
12 May 2008 - by Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal
Projected impacts of climate change
Global climate change may impact food production across a
range of pathways (Figure 17): 1) By changing overall growing
conditions (general rainfall distribution, temperature regime
and carbon); 2) By inducing more extreme weather such as
floods, drought and storms; and 3) By increasing extent, type
and frequency of infestations, including that of invasive alien
species (dealt with in a separate section).
02 Feb 2009 - by Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal
Biofuels production 1975-2005 (ethanol and biodiesel)
Biofuels have grown quickly in demand and production (Figure
14), fuelled by high oil prices and the initial perception of their
role in reducing CO2 emissions (FAO, 2008). Biofuels, including
biodiesel from palm oil and ethanol from sugarcane, corn
and soybean, accounted for about 1% of the total road transport
in 2005, and may reach 25% by 2050, with the EU having
set targets as high as 10% by 2020 (World Bank, 2007; FAO,
2008). For many...
02 Feb 2009 - by Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal
An increasing number of countries are leasing land abroad to sustain and secure their food production
The world regions are sharply divided in terms of their capacity
to use science in promoting agricultural productivity in order
to achieve food security and reduce poverty and hunger. For every
US$100 of agricultural output, developed countries spend
US$2.16 on public agricultural research and development
(R&D), whereas developing countries spend only US$0.55 (IFPRI,
2008). Total agricultural R&D spending in developing
countries increased ...
02 Feb 2009 - by Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal
Losses in the food chain – from field to household consumption
i.e., before
conversion of food to feed. After discounting the losses, conversions
and wastage at the various stages, roughly 2,800 kcal are
available for supply (mixture of animal and vegetal foods) and,
at the end of the chain, 2,000 kcal on average – only 43% of the
potential edible crop harvest – are available for consumption.
(Source: Lundqvist et al., 2008).
02 Feb 2009 - by Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal
FAO Commodity Price Indices
Although production has generally increased, the rising prices
coincided with extreme weather events in several major cereal
producing countries, which resulted in a depletion of cereal
stocks. The 2008 world cereal stocks are forecast to fall to their
lowest levels in 30 years time, to 18.7% of utilization or only 66
days of food (FAO, 2008).
02 Feb 2009 - by Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal
Possible individual ranges of yield and cropland area losses by 2050
Figure 24: Possible individual ranges of yield and cropland area losses by 2050 with climate change (A2 scenario),
non-food crops incl. biofuels (six OECD scenarios), land degradation (on yield and area, respectively, see text), water
scarcity (including gradual melt of Himalayas glaciers, see box and text) and pests (invasive species of weeds,
pathogens and invertebrates such as insects, see text). Although these effects may be considerable, ...
02 Feb 2009 - by Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal
Trends in food commodity prices, compared to trends in crude oil prices (indices)
The impacts of reduced food availability, higher food prices
and thus lower access to food by many people have
been dramatic. It is estimated that in 2008 at least 110
million people have been driven into poverty and 44 million
more became undernourished (World Bank, 2008).
Over 120 million more people became impoverished in
the past 2–3 years.
02 Feb 2009 - by Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal
Potential for cropland expansion
Current projections suggest that an additional 120 million ha
– an area twice the size of France or one-third that of India – will
be needed to support the traditional growth in food production
by 2030, mainly in developing countries (FAO, 2003), without
considering the compensation required for certain losses. The
demand for irrigated land is projected to increase by 56% in Sub-
Saharan Africa (from 4.5 to 7 million ha), and rainfed land b...
02 Feb 2009 - by Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal
Food lost
Food losses in the field (between planting and harvesting) could
be as high as 20–40% of the potential harvest in developing
countries due to pests and pathogens (Kader, 2005). Postharvest
losses vary greatly among commodities and production areas
and seasons. In the United States, the losses of fresh fruits
and vegetables have been estimated to range from 2% to 23%,
depending on the commodity, with an overall average of about
12% losses b...
02 Feb 2009 - by Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal
Projected changes in cereal productivity in Africa, due to climate change – current climate to 2080
Water is essential not only to survival but is also equally or even
more important than nutrients in food production. Agriculture accounts
for nearly 70% of the water consumption, with some estimates
as high as 85% (Hanasaki et al., 2008a,b). Water scarcity
will affect over 1.8 billion people by 2025 (WHO, 2007). This could
have major impacts on health, particularly in rural areas, and thus
also major impacts on farmer productivity. Althoug...
02 Feb 2009 - by Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal
World capture fisheries and aquaculture production
Current projections for aquaculture suggest that
previous growth is unlikely to be sustained in
the future as a result of limits to the availability
of wild marine fish for aquaculture feed (FAO,
2008). Small pelagic fish make up 37% of the total
marine capture fisheries landings. Of this, 90% (or
27% of total landings) are processed into fishmeal and
fish oil with the remaining 10% used directly for animal
feed (Alder et al., 2008).
02 Feb 2009 - by Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal
FAO Food price index (FFPI)
The current world food crisis is the result of the combined effects of competition for cropland
from the growth in biofuels, low cereal stocks, high oil prices, speculation in food
markets and extreme weather events. The crisis has resulted in a several-fold increase in
several central commodity prices, driven 110 million people into poverty and added 44
million more to the already undernourished. Information on the role and constraints of
t...
02 Feb 2009 - by Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal
Water requirements for food production 1960-2050
The requirements for water in agriculture will need to increase in order to meet the Millennium Development Goal 1, target 2 'Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people who suffer from hunger'. To decrease hunger the outputs in agriculture will need to increase, and thus the water use.
02 Feb 2009 - by Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal
Market access (estimated travel time) in agricultural areas
Accessibility to food is also determined by the long-term trend
in food prices (which is a different issue from price volatility).
The rising trend in global food prices is likely to persist in
the next decade. In the long run, however, prices will decline
(OECD-FAO, 2008).
02 Feb 2009 - by Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal
Trends in mean depth of fish catches
Food losses in the field (between planting and harvesting) could
be as high as 20–40% of the potential harvest in developing
countries due to pests and pathogens (Kader, 2005). Postharvest
losses vary greatly among commodities and production areas
and seasons. In the United States, the losses of fresh fruits
and vegetables have been estimated to range from 2% to 23%,
depending on the commodity, with an overall average of about
12% losses b...
02 Feb 2009 - by Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal
Trends in world agricultural exports
The availability of food within a specific country can be guaranteed
in two ways: Either by food production in the country itself
or by trade. The first option has been discussed extensively
in the previous chapters. The second option has become more
and more important (Figure 29), with increasing transport
possibilities and storing capacities and the growing challenges
faced by some countries in their domestic production, including
becaus...
02 Feb 2009 - by Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal