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Donner, S.D., Skirving, W.J., Little, C.M., Hoegh-Guldberg, O., Oppenheimer, M. 2005. Global assessment of coral bleaching and required rates of adaptation under climate change. Global Change Biology vol, 11, 2251-2265.
Uploaded on Saturday 25 Feb 2012
Climate change and tropical coral reefs, scenarios for bleaching events
Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal
Projected areas of above normal sea temperature where coral bleaching is likely to occur for the SRES A2 scenario (continuing current trends) by two different models, the PCM (1.7°C increase in 100 years) and the HadCM3 (3°C increase in 100 years) by approximately 2035 (left) and by 2055 (right). Both models project severe annual bleaching in more than 80% of the Worlds coral reefs by 2080.