Using this graphic and referring to it is encouraged, and please use it in presentations, web pages, newspapers, blogs and reports.
For any form of publication, please include the link to this page and give the cartographer/designer credit (in this case Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal)
Rogers & Randolph. The Global Spread of Malaria in a Future, Warmer World. Science (2000:1763-1766).
Uploaded on Tuesday 21 Feb 2012
Climate change and malaria, scenario for 2050
Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal
With climate conditions changing in the future, due to increased concentrations of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, conditions for pests also change. The primary Malaria agent, the falciparum malaria parasite, will be able to spread into new areas, as displayed in this map, by 2050 using the Hadley CM2 high scenario. Other areas, not displayed in the map, will be uninhabitable by the parasite, and thus free of the pest.