Using this graphic and referring to it is encouraged, and please use it in presentations, web pages, newspapers, blogs and reports.
For any form of publication, please include the link to this page and give the cartographer/designer credit (in this case Philippe Rekacewicz, UNEP/GRID-Arendal)
Nickolai Denisov, GRID-Arendal, Norway; Scientific Information Center of International Coordination Water Commission (SIC IWC); International Fund for Saving the Aral Sea (IFAS); The World Bank; NASA; USGS, Earthshots: Satellite images of environmental change, U.S. Department of the Interior, 2000.
Uploaded on Saturday 25 Feb 2012
Aral Sea: trends and scenarios
Philippe Rekacewicz, UNEP/GRID-Arendal
The demise of the Aral Sea was caused primarily by the diversion of the inflowing Amu Dar'ya and Syr Dar'ya rivers to provide irrigation water for local croplands. This graphic shows the disappearance of the Aral Sea from 1957 to 2000 and three possible scenarios showing the relationship between future demand (and thus water abstraction) and future available runoff in cubic kilometres per year. The scenarios cover the time period from 2000 to 2020. They show what may happen if water abstraction and the demand for water continue to increase, what may happen if they remain the same as they were in the year 2000, and what may happen if they decrease.