Table 7: Water Balance in West Asia - Scenario I: Business As Usual (GEO-2000 Alternative Policy Study: Water Resource Management in West Asia)

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Alternative Policy Study: Water Resource Management in West Asia

Table 7: Water Balance in West Asia⁽¹⁾
Scenario I: Business As Usual

Assumptions:

No development of new water sources after 1995 is foreseen.
UN projection of population (1997) is applied.
Water demand for domestic and industry is secured.
Rates for water consumption as shown in box 1.
Improved agricultural productivity will achieve 17 per cent saving in agricultural water demand by 2015 (see box 1).
Shared water resource disputes are settled.

	*1995*	*2000*	*2005*	*2010*	*2015*
Arabian Peninsula sub-region
Available water resources	15.41	15.41	15.41	15.41	15.41
Total water demand	29.57	33.74	37.74	42.22	47.32
Water balance	-14.16	-18.33	-22.33	-26.81	-31.91
% W. balance/demand	-47.90	-54.30	-59.20	-63.50	-67.40
Mashriq sub-region
Available water resources	98.35	98.35	98.35	98.35	98.35
Total water demand	66.50	73.04	80.13	87.81	95.88
Water balance	31.85	25.31	18.22	10.54	2.47
% W. balance/demand	47.90	34.70	22.70	12.00	2.60
West Asia region
Available water resources	113.76	113.76	113.76	113.76	113.76
Total water demand	96.07	106.78	117.87	130.03	143.20
Water balance	17.69	6.98	-4.11	-16.27	-29.44
% W. balance/demand	18.40	6.50	-3.50	-12.50	-20.55

1. Volume in multiples of a thousand million cubic metres

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