IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - B1 MINICAM			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	5293	6100	6874	7618	8122	8484	8703	8623	8430	8126	7621	7137
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	20.7	27.4	37.5	51.0	73.0	100.7	134.1	172.7	211.9	251.8	289.9	330.8
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		45	50	55	60	66	66	61	43	32	25	24	22
	Liquids		121	112	109	113	113	123	142	152	162	172	176	181
	Gas		52	57	66	82	86	86	81	78	78	79	81	84
	Electricity		35	46	63	85	113	147	185	219	247	270	272	273
	Others		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Total		253	264	294	341	378	421	469	493	518	546	553	561
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		88	98	107	113	131	136	127	93	68	51	49	47
	Oil		131	120	116	119	115	123	144	156	167	177	183	188
	Gas		70	76	100	144	162	169	165	160	155	148	149	151
	Nuclear		24	22	24	29	41	49	54	51	46	38	40	41
	Biomass		0	5	9	13	17	20	23	26	27	24	23	22
	Other Renewables		24	24	28	33	44	76	129	185	234	277	257	238
	Total		336	345	384	451	509	573	642	672	696	716	701	687
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.1	1.1	2.1	3.2	4.4	5.7	7.1	8.1	8.9	9.5	10.0	10.5
	Oil		0.1	1.4	2.6	3.7	4.9	6.1	7.4	8.9	10.6	12.3	14.1	15.9
	Gas		0.1	0.8	1.8	2.9	4.5	6.1	7.8	9.4	11.0	12.5	14.0	15.5
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	75.3	157.1	246.7	345.0	445.3	542.3	634.2	719.3	794.0	858.8	915.5
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha
	Cropland		1472	1467	1456	1439	1377	1287	1168	989	833	699	598	496
	Grasslands		3209	3349	3590	3933	4240	4443	4544	4268	3976	3668	3522	3375
	Energy Biomass		0	1	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Forest		4173	4214	4144	3963	3737	3611	3584	4038	4428	4754	4796	4837
	Others		4310	4133	3972	3828	3810	3823	3868	3870	3928	4043	4250	4458
	Total		13164	13164	13164	13164	13164	13164	13164	13164	13164	13164	13165	13166
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	5.99	6.90	7.39	8.23	8.99	9.23	9.30	8.58	8.06	7.73	7.83	7.92
	Other CO2	GtC	1.11	1.07	1.00	1.30	1.14	0.72	0.15	0.36	0.02	-0.86	-1.75	-2.64
	Total CO2	GtC	7.10	7.97	8.38	9.53	10.13	9.94	9.45	8.94	8.08	6.87	6.07	5.28
	CH4 total	MtCH4	310	323	351	399	439	483	512	506	505	510	535	561
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	6.7	7.0	8.1	9.5	11.1	13.0	14.8	15.4	16.1	16.8	18.5	20.2
	SOx total	MtS	70.9	69.0	69.0	69.0	65.6	57.1	43.7	30.4	21.6	17.3	16.9	16.6
	CFC/HFC/HCFC	MtC eq.	1672	883	784	291	257	298	338	337	333	327	315	299
	PFC	MtC eq.	32	25	29	32	33	37	42	47	45	43	46	45
	SF6	MtC eq.	38	40	36	37	47	58	68	71	62	46	43	43
	CO	MtCO
	NMVOC	Mt
	NOx	MtN
OECD90 - B1 MINICAM			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	838	908	965	1007	1024	1066	1081	1084	1090	1098	1105	1112
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	16.3	20.5	25.1	30.1	32.0	38.8	44.6	50.3	56.5	63.2	71.0	79.3
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		10	11	10	7	7	6	6	5	4	3	3	3
	Liquids		72	63	55	48	43	34	35	35	36	38	39	41
	Gas		27	31	36	41	39	35	32	30	30	32	33	35
	Electricity		22	24	25	27	28	31	35	38	42	46	47	47
	Others		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Total		130	128	126	123	117	107	108	108	112	118	122	126
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		40	38	32	22	22	23	23	18	13	9	10	11
	Oil		76	67	58	49	43	32	32	33	35	38	40	41
	Gas		34	40	50	64	61	54	49	46	45	45	47	49
	Nuclear		20	13	9	8	8	8	7	7	6	6	6	7
	Biomass		0	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	3	3	3
	Other Renewables		12	11	10	10	10	14	20	27	34	42	41	39
	Total		182	171	162	155	148	133	134	134	137	143	147	150
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.4	0.8	1.1	1.2	1.5	1.7	1.9	2.1	2.2	2.3	2.4
	Oil		0.1	0.8	1.4	1.9	2.1	2.7	3.0	3.3	3.7	4.0	4.4	4.8
	Gas		0.0	0.4	0.9	1.4	1.7	2.6	3.1	3.6	4.0	4.5	4.9	5.4
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	30.1	61.8	92.5	121.6	148.0	171.6	193.8	214.8	233.9	251.1	266.9
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha
	Cropland		408	410	407	399	386	343	305	259	221	193	158	124
	Grasslands		796	821	867	933	960	1022	1037	988	939	891	850	809
	Energy Biomass		0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Forest		921	931	923	897	883	862	873	968	1040	1090	1117	1145
	Others		998	959	925	894	893	896	907	908	922	949	998	1046
	Total		3123	3123	3123	3123	3123	3123	3123	3123	3123	3123	3123	3124
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	2.83	3.20	3.04	2.83	2.71	2.43	2.37	2.23	2.13	2.08	2.16	2.24
	Other CO2	GtC	0.00	0.00	0.10	0.16	0.13	0.00	-0.09	-0.05	-0.11	-0.28	-0.51	-0.74
	Total CO2	GtC	2.83	3.20	3.14	2.99	2.84	2.43	2.28	2.17	2.02	1.80	1.65	1.50
	CH4 total	MtCH4	73	74	82	93	100	119	132	140	143	143	155	167
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	2.6	2.6	2.8	3.1	3.2	3.8	4.1	4.3	4.4	4.7	4.9	5.1
	SOx total	MtS	22.7	17.0	12.2	6.8	5.8	4.9	4.2	3.7	3.4	3.4	3.6	3.8
	HFC	MtC eq.	19	58	108	103	109	112	116	117	117	119	120	120
	PFC	MtC eq.	18	13	12	10	8	7	7	7	7	7	7	6
	SF6	MtC eq.	24	23	16	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	8	8
	CO	MtCO
	NMVOC	Mt
	NOx	MtN
REF - B1 MINICAM			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	428	425	426	433	434	431	423	408	392	374	357	340
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	1.1	1.1	1.4	2.0	3.0	4.1	5.3	7.1	9.2	11.5	13.4	15.6
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		13	10	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1
	Liquids		18	12	8	8	8	8	7	7	7	6	6	6
	Gas		19	15	14	16	16	14	12	10	9	8	8	7
	Electricity		6	8	11	15	17	19	21	22	23	22	21	20
	Others		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Total		56	44	40	46	47	46	45	42	40	38	36	34
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		18	17	16	15	16	16	15	9	6	5	4	3
	Oil		20	13	10	10	9	8	8	8	8	7	7	6
	Gas		26	20	20	28	28	26	21	18	15	13	12	11
	Nuclear		3	4	5	7	7	7	6	5	4	3	3	3
	Biomass		0	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
	Other Renewables		3	3	4	5	6	10	16	20	23	24	21	19
	Total		70	57	56	66	68	69	69	63	58	54	49	44
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.7	0.8	1.0	1.1	1.2	1.2	1.3	1.3
	Oil		0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.8	0.9	1.0	1.0
	Gas		0.0	0.2	0.5	0.7	1.0	1.2	1.5	1.7	1.8	2.0	2.1	2.2
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	11.0	19.9	29.3	39.5	49.3	57.9	65.3	71.6	76.1	78.7	80.1
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha
	Cropland		284	294	300	304	295	278	251	205	166	133	117	101
	Grasslands		395	410	452	522	587	627	643	564	493	430	428	426
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Forest		1007	1016	997	948	893	867	869	994	1093	1167	1147	1127
	Others		691	657	628	604	602	606	614	615	626	647	685	724
	Total		2377	2377	2377	2377	2377	2377	2377	2377	2377	2377	2377	2377
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	1.30	0.91	0.83	0.93	0.94	0.89	0.78	0.60	0.48	0.40	0.38	0.35
	Other CO2	GtC	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.08	0.09	0.06	-0.01	0.10	0.08	-0.07	-0.17	-0.28
	Total CO2	GtC	1.30	0.91	0.86	1.01	1.03	0.95	0.77	0.71	0.56	0.33	0.20	0.07
	CH4 total	MtCH4	47	39	46	60	70	78	84	78	78	84	90	97
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.9	1.2	1.4	1.6	1.6	1.6	1.6	1.8	2.0
	SOx total	MtS	17.0	11.0	9.6	8.9	9.5	8.6	6.5	3.6	1.8	1.0	1.2	1.3
	HFC	MtC eq.	0	4	9	15	20	24	26	27	27	27	27	26
	PFC	MtC eq.	7	4	6	6	7	8	9	10	9	8	8	8
	SF6	MtC eq.	8	6	4	7	7	8	9	9	7	6	4	4
	CO	MtCO
	NMVOC	Mt
	NOx	MtN
ASIA - B1 MINICAM			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	2790	3226	3608	3937	4115	4210	4219	4062	3852	3589	3245	2919
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	1.4	3.1	6.4	11.5	21.7	34.1	48.6	63.3	77.6	91.5	103.9	117.1
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		20	27	34	42	46	46	41	29	20	16	14	13
	Liquids		14	18	23	29	34	40	47	50	53	55	55	55
	Gas		2	5	8	13	15	16	16	16	15	15	15	15
	Electricity		4	10	19	32	47	63	81	95	105	113	111	109
	Others		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Total		40	59	84	115	141	165	185	189	194	200	196	193
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		26	39	53	68	79	79	68	47	33	25	22	20
	Oil		16	19	25	32	35	41	49	53	56	57	58	58
	Gas		3	8	18	33	44	51	54	52	48	44	43	42
	Nuclear		1	3	7	11	18	23	26	24	21	17	17	17
	Biomass		0	2	4	7	9	11	12	14	14	13	12	11
	Other Renewables		3	4	5	7	12	28	54	79	100	117	105	94
	Total		49	75	111	157	197	232	263	269	272	272	257	242
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.4	0.9	1.4	2.2	3.0	3.7	4.2	4.6	4.9	5.2	5.4
	Oil		0.0	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.0	1.4	1.9	2.4	2.9	3.5	4.1	4.6
	Gas		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.9	1.3	1.9	2.4	2.9	3.3	3.8	4.2
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	17.8	40.7	70.1	105.6	144.3	182.7	217.8	248.3	274.5	297.7	318.9
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha
	Cropland		389	400	406	408	399	381	354	302	255	213	186	160
	Grasslands		508	524	554	600	641	671	691	673	648	615	593	572
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Forest		1168	1144	1108	1060	1027	1012	1017	1086	1159	1236	1283	1330
	Others		664	633	606	584	583	587	596	597	608	628	665	701
	Total		2729	2700	2674	2652	2650	2651	2657	2659	2671	2692	2728	2763
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	1.15	1.78	2.36	3.08	3.58	3.78	3.68	3.20	2.84	2.59	2.52	2.46
	Other CO2	GtC	0.37	0.26	0.19	0.24	0.22	0.16	0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.16	-0.30	-0.45
	Total CO2	GtC	1.53	2.03	2.55	3.32	3.79	3.94	3.75	3.27	2.83	2.42	2.22	2.01
	CH4 total	MtCH4	113	125	133	144	154	161	165	158	153	148	149	150
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	2.3	2.6	2.9	3.3	3.8	4.3	4.8	5.0	5.1	5.3	5.8	6.4
	SOx total	MtS	17.7	25.3	31.2	36.9	34.1	27.8	18.0	11.1	6.7	4.7	4.4	4.1
	HFC	MtC eq.	0	4	11	20	34	56	93	90	85	79	72	64
	PFC	MtC eq.	3	5	7	9	11	14	17	20	18	18	18	18
	SF6	MtC eq.	4	7	11	17	23	27	30	32	26	19	16	16
	CO	MtCO
	NMVOC	Mt
	NOx	MtN
ALM - B1 MINICAM			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	1236	1541	1876	2241	2531	2778	2980	3068	3096	3064	2913	2766
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	1.9	2.8	4.6	7.4	14.4	23.7	35.6	52.0	68.6	85.6	101.5	118.8
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na	na
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		2	3	4	5	7	8	9	7	6	5	5	5
	Liquids		17	19	23	28	33	41	52	60	67	73	76	80
	Gas		5	6	9	13	18	21	22	22	23	24	25	27
	Electricity		3	5	8	12	21	33	48	63	77	89	93	96
	Others		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Total		27	33	43	57	79	103	131	153	172	190	199	207
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		4	5	6	8	14	18	21	18	15	13	13	13
	Oil		20	20	23	29	33	42	54	62	69	75	79	83
	Gas		7	8	13	20	30	38	42	44	46	46	48	49
	Nuclear		0	2	3	4	8	11	14	15	14	13	14	14
	Biomass		0	0	1	2	3	4	5	7	7	7	6	6
	Other Renewables		5	6	8	11	15	24	39	59	77	94	89	85
	Total		35	42	55	73	103	138	176	205	229	247	249	251
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.7	0.8	1.0	1.2	1.3	1.4
	Oil		0.0	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.0	1.4	1.9	2.5	3.1	3.8	4.6	5.4
	Gas		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.6	1.0	1.4	1.8	2.2	2.7	3.2	3.6
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	16.4	34.7	54.8	78.2	103.7	130.1	157.3	184.6	209.6	231.2	249.7
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha
	Cropland		391	363	342	329	309	285	258	223	190	160	136	111
	Grasslands		1510	1594	1717	1879	2025	2123	2174	2043	1897	1733	1651	1568
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Forest		3641	3591	3493	3348	3218	3137	3105	3271	3453	3650	3756	3862
	Others		1957	1884	1813	1746	1733	1734	1750	1749	1771	1818	1902	1987
	Total		7499	7432	7366	7301	7285	7280	7286	7286	7311	7361	7445	7528
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	0.72	1.01	1.15	1.38	1.77	2.13	2.48	2.55	2.62	2.67	2.77	2.87
	Other CO2	GtC	0.73	0.82	0.68	0.82	0.71	0.49	0.18	0.24	0.06	-0.35	-0.76	-1.17
	Total CO2	GtC	1.45	1.83	1.83	2.20	2.47	2.62	2.65	2.79	2.67	2.31	2.01	1.70
	CH4 total	MtCH4	77	85	90	102	116	126	131	131	132	135	141	147
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	1.2	1.3	1.7	2.2	2.9	3.6	4.2	4.6	5.0	5.3	6.0	6.6
	SOx total	MtS	10.5	12.8	13.0	13.4	13.3	12.8	12.0	9.0	6.7	5.2	4.8	4.4
	HFC	MtC eq.	0	2	16	28	42	64	98	102	102	101	96	89
	PFC	MtC eq.	4	4	5	6	7	8	9	11	11	11	12	12
	SF6	MtC eq.	2	5	5	8	12	17	22	24	21	14	14	14
	CO	MtCO
	NMVOC	Mt
	NOx	MtN